Friday, December 19, 2008

Braves or Dodgers?


It seems the jumping back and forth between the Braves and the Dodgers has come to an end. After a little situation between the Braves organization and the representatives of Furcal (Link here), he has finally signed on the dotted line and will be in Dodger blue next year.

Since Furcal is going back to the Dodgers his fantasy value hasn't changed. The only thing owners want to make sure and worry over is his health. As long as Furcal stays healthy he can put up some solid fantasy numbers.

.285avg, 5-7hrs, and 25sbs.

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Saturday, December 13, 2008

Saito

The Dodgers closer for the past few years, Takashi Saito, is now a free agent. This is great news for Broxton who seems to be the newly cemented closer for the Dodgers. Reports are Saito and the Dodgers may still come to terms over a contract but I don't think this is going to affect Broxton. He is the new closer in Dodgers land even if Saito comes back.

Broxton just took a huge boost in draft value. High K/9 rate and saves adds very great to any lineup.

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Raul Ibanez


Raul Ibanez is now a apart of the Phillies and this is a very good sign for you fantasy owners. Raul will sit in a very productive lineup that consists of Utley, Rollins, Victorino, the young Werth, and MVP Ryan Howard. Look for Ibanez to provide strong fantasy numbers in this lineup but don't expect him to hit 30+HRs like he did back in 2006. He has never hit more than 26HRs in a single season.

In Seattle, where the team was absolutely crap, he still managed to produce 100+RBIs in the past 3 years so expect him to drive in around 100+RBIs especially with the likes of Utley, Rollins, and Victorino hitting ahead of him.

Ibanez seems to be an underappreciated OF in fantasy baseball but he is a great #2/#3 OF'er. As with most underappreciated players you can most likely grab him in the 6-9 rounds.

Look for Ibanez to have this as a stat line: 290AVG, 23HRs, and 114RBIs.

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Friday, December 12, 2008

AJ


The Yankees have apparently signed Mr. AJ Burnett after completing a deal with CC, pending a physical. I see this deal failing, in real life, because this money should have been spent on signing a big bat (Mr. Big Texeira). You never know, they might sign Big Tex too.

Fantasy wise this Burnett's value lies squarely on health. If AJ can stay healthy he can be a strong contributor for fantasy teams but this guy just can't stay healthy. Now that he is apart of the Yankees there will be plenty of offence to support him while he is on the mound so you can see a few extra wins. He is staying put in the AL East but as a Yankee he does not have to go through the Yankees lineup but instead he now has to face the Jays lineup, including the Red Sox, Rays, and Orioles, so this is another plus. If he stays healthy expect the same type of numbers 15-10, 180K's, and a 4.10ERA. Nothing to drool over.

There will be plenty of fantasy owners who will over reach for AJ because he now plays for the Yankees now but don't be that owner. He should be a #2-3 starter on your team and shouldn't be drafted until the late single rounds even early double digit rounds. Don't put your season on the line with a guy who usually only throws 20 starts a season.

Personally I would make him my #3 starter. Plus, I wouldn't even draft him unless there was no other pitcher on the market. I don't care for guys who can't stay healthy, especially pitchers!

Overall, this isn't anything huge in fantasy land.

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Thursday, December 11, 2008

Big Tex with Nats?


I just came across a rumour that the Washington Nationals, yes the Nationals, have sent an offer to big time switch hitting Mark Teixeira. The contract would total $160million over 8 years.

Why would Tex even bother going to the Nationals and playing there? As a free agent high profile sought-after free agent, wouldn't he leverage that into a deal so you could sign with a team that has a legitimate chance at winning the World Series. It is a lot of money but this guy can get this kind of money with any team, all he has to do is choose which team he wants to play for and that team will most likely show him the money.

If this rumour is true, I can't believe the Nats even bothered to send him an offer. Maybe they just want to make the fans of Washington feel like they are doing something to improve their team.

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SIGNINGS!!


The winter meetings in Vegas finally brought some news to the baseball world.


C.C. Sabathia - I had a 10% chance in my head that Sabathia would not sign with the Yankees this off-season and I guess the 90% was right. Sabathia signed for 7 seasons and is worth $161million. What I have read is Sabathia was a little reluctant to live in New York because he just didn't know what it would be like so the Yankees gave Sabathia a nice cluase in his contract, option to leave after 3 years. Fantasy wise, this is nothing big. As long as Sabathia stays healthy he is, in my eyes, the #2 pitcher in fantasy baseball behind Johan. The only thing to take note of is how hard the Brewers pitched him last year. He threw 130.1innings in 17 starts as a Brewer and most of those starts had him throw 100-120 pitches. In his career, Sabathia has thrown plenty of innings but you never know when this might catch up with him.

AJ Burnett - Where will you land? Reports are coming out that the Yankees are offering him a 5 year $90million contract. Minimal fantasy impact since he'd be staying in the AL East. Plus, with his health concerns and his "contract year" effort behind him, he won't be finding a place on my fantasy team in 2009.

Ben Sheets - Will you be a Yankee too?

Derek Lowe - Following Sheets?

K-Rod - The newly crowned single season saves leader did not get his Mariano money but he did find a home and team that is going to pay him nicely. The Mets will pay K-Rod $37million over 3 years. Fantasy wise, this is a great move for owners of any Mets starters. With all the problems the Mets had last year (let's not forget about two years ago) of blowups from the bullpen, Mets starters might now get the wins they deserved. K-Rod is a top notch fantasy closer and should be taken in the draft as a top-3 closer.

JJ Putz - Not a signing but the a trade. Putz was acquired from the Mariners by the........Mets! Omar and company really want to rebuild their bullpen from scratch so they won't have anymore of those September collapses again. Fantasy wise, great news for owners of Mets starters but bad news for people who had Putz as their closer. He will assume the set-up role.

New York Mets - Omar, what about signing Brian Fuentes too?

Kerry Wood - Reportedly has signed with the Indians for 2 years worth $20million. Fantasy wise, this is a good move. Wood finds a new home and a place where he can start over with a clean slate. Wood still has the ability to post huge numbers (K/9, decent ERA, and saves).

Edwin Jackson - A young 14 game winner in 2008 was traded to the Tigers by the Rays. This young starting pitcher has thrown a total of 456 innings in the bigs and looks like a solid 3/4 pitcher in fantasy leagues. This kid has a 5.3K/9 ratio, which is alright, but he has a fairly high career ERA of 5.15. I have Edwin on my surprise list for 2009.

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Saturday, December 6, 2008

2009 MLB Prospects

Keeper League Owners.

The top 50 prospects for 2009. You might have to pay a hefty Price for the #1 prospect.

**CLICK HERE**

PS. Courtesy of MLB.com

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Friday, December 5, 2008

Signings

Edgar Renteria - Signing with a NL team is a great thing for us fantasy owners. Renteria has signed with the Giants for $18.5million over 2 years. Just take a look at his stats comparing his performance on an AL team versus a NL team.

13 Year Pro Career
Career averages - .290AVG, .347OBP, .405SLG
2 Years in the AL - .276 and .270AVG, .335 and .317OBP, .385 and .382SLG

All numbers falling below his career averages. Also, Renteria seems to find the running game a little more comfortable in the NL. In his only two years in the AL, Renteria failed to steal 10 or more bases, which he did in every other year as a NL player.

Overall, Renteria is a decent option at SS if you fail to grab a big time name in the draft. He is a guy that won't hurt you but won't win you a title either.

Jorge Julio - Just signed with the Brewers for $950,000 for a 1year contract. With the departure of Gagne and Torres, Julio might find himself closing out games for the Brew Crew come 2009. Fantasy owners, nothing is final but if he is a closer, there is plenty of value here. Remember, every closer is worth a spot on a fantasy roster.

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Thursday, December 4, 2008

Update


Here are a few things to take note of.

Dustin Pedroia - Just signed a 6-year $40.5million contract with the Red Sox. Looking at his number this guy deserves it. AL Rookie of the Year, AL MVP, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger, and a World Series Ring. That is a nice trophy case to have. I'm starting to fall for this guy because of his ability to give a .300AVG, 15HR's, 15-20SBs, and show improvement in his overall game as he matures. This guy is worth an early 3rd round pick.

Javier Vazquez
- He is now a Braves pitcher. This doesn't give him a tremendous boost in draft value but remember, he is going to a better ballpark and an easier league to pitch to. This guy is a workhorse and should be a #3 pitcher in your fantasy roster. On draft day, this guy always seems to fall under the radar because he doesn't jump out with amazing numbers but at the end of the year they are all there. Remember this guy when you are drafting.

Mike Hampton
- The deal is final. He is now the property of the Houston Astros. Owners, don't worry about him.

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Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Hampton

With all the big busts out there Mike Hampton ranks fairly high on the list. Hampton signed an 8 year $121million contract after the 2000 season and well most fantasy owners from that time know how poorly that panned out.

It seems things are coming full circle. Hampton is reported to have signed a 1 year contract with the Astros for $2million and with bonuses reaching another $2million.

Yes, this isn't much help for fantasy owners and doesn't really rank high on fantasy news but come on, it's the offseason and there isn't much going on. Hampton does not deserve a spot on rosters next year unless you are in a super deep deep league.

I hope free agents start signing with teams so I have some news to talk about.

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Saturday, November 29, 2008

Japanese Import

It appears that the Boston Red Sox have signed a third Japanese pitcher to their team, Junichi Tazawa, in addition to Daisuke and Okajima.

If reports are correct, the Red Sox will be paying Junichi around $6million over 3 years. For all you fantasy owners who love jumping on new players from Japan, you should wait and just keep this guys name on your radar for 2010 or Sept. 2009.

Junichi is not the typical pitcher that comes over to the major leagues. He is 22 years old. Some might say this is great since he is young and doesn't have a lot of milage on his young arm. The only problem is, he has not pitched in any professional games while in Japan. This kid is a product of the amateur company league in Japan. Note: Japan has a baseball league where companies form teams and compete against each other. He has never pitched in the Japan Professional League like Daisuke, Hideo Nomo, and Okajima.

He will be sent to the minors and developed through the Red Sox farm system. Owners, keep an eye out but this kid is not worth drafting in the 2009 draft.

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Sunday, November 23, 2008

Utley to Have Surgery

Fantasy Stud Chase Utley will have surgery on his right hip and will most likely miss the start of the 2009 season. The surgery will repair bone or cartilage in his right hip.

Fantasy owners should not be worried about Utley because there is a relatively definite time line on when his return will be. Compared to last year with the whole Pujols injury watch, Utley will not drop out of the first round or even drop spots in the draft.

Expect Utley to hold his first round status for the 2009 draft.

Of course this is if nothing else pops up between now and draft day.

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Thursday, November 20, 2008

Coco Crisp


Coco is a new owner of a Royals uniform.

The Red Sox have sent Coco to the Royals for RP Ramon Ramirez. Now, assuming he has a starting gig, Coco will be playing everyday and this will benefit fantasy owners.

A career .280 hitter, Crisp can give plenty of value for owners who take him because he adds 20+ steals and a decent average that won't hurt you. At the end of the day, guys like Coco seem to be available on the waiver wire for one reason, he isn't a fantasy stud. He doesn't blow away the competition in any one category so most owners seem to over look him. On draft day, make sure to take note of Coco and remember to grab him later in the draft.

Grab him as your 3-4OF and you will be giving yourself a chance at a 2009 fantasy championship.

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Pedroia


The little man has won himself an AL MVP award. Congratulations Dustin!

In his third season in the majors, second as a full time player, Dustin won the MVP award beating out Twins first baseman Morneau.

Fantasy owners should be a little hesitant on drafting him too early in the draft. The second base position is usually taken fairly early with the likes of Utley, Kinsler, Roberts, Uggla, and Phillips. After these guys there is a fairly significant drop in value so owners should be looking for a 2B fairly early in the draft.

I am not a complete believer on Dustin just yet. If he can produce another year like this I will be on the bandwagon but don't get me wrong, he is a good solid baseball player. His numbers have improved every year and if it continues he should be a solid 2B for years to come.

If you are going to go big, draft early, on a 2B with the likes of Kinsler and Utley, you will be a little short on another position. I would recommend taking a Roberts or Uggla and bringing some bigger returns in the OF position.

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Dempster


The Cubs came to terms with Ryan Dempster with a 4 year $52mil contract.

Fantasy Owners...DO NOT DRAFT HIM unless he is going to be your 3-5 starter. Take a look at his stats and you will see that his IP'ed spiked last year after being converted back to a starter.

The last time he pitched over 200 innings was way back in 2001. In the past 4 years (04-07) he has pitched a total of 254.1 innings which is only 47.2 innings more than what he threw in 2008. How is he going to react and feel when next year rolls around, nobody knows.

Yes, there are pitchers who can make this jump without feeling anything, health wise, but those pitchers are far and few between. If you want to take a chance go right ahead but I personally would take a chance on a hitter than a pitcher like Dempster.

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Friday, November 14, 2008

Cliff Lee


The 2008 AL Cy Young Award winner is going to go high in 2009 drafts.

DO NOT BE ONE OF THOSE PEOPLE!

Lee is a veteran in the bigs and has never shown this kind of stuff he showed in 2008. In my opinion, this was a career year and for fantasy owners to draft him expecting numbers like this will surely be sorry at the end of 2009.

Prior to his Cy Young season he was a mid-4ERA guy and then all of a sudden he goes to a 2.54ERA, it just doesn't make sense except for the explanation of a career year.

Make sure to stay clear of him in the early rounds because these rounds should be used for premium hitters who will give you the things you need, stats and nothing more than predictable stats.

Stay clear of Lee and take a hitter.

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Bye Bye Wood





The era of Kerry Wood and Mark Prior that was suppose to bring the big one two punch is finally over. Ok, it was over a while ago with all the injuries to both players plus the departure of Prior but now it is officially over. The Cubs have acquired Kevin Gregg from the Marlins and reports are Wood is done playing in Wrigley.

This is kind of sad because Wood and Prior had such promising careers that were sadly derailed with injuries. I have always thought that Wood and Prior would someday find their stuff and find a way to be successful in the bigs but it just hasn't happened.

Wood has value for 2009. His 2008 stats (3.26ERA, 84Ks, 34SVs, and a 5-4 record all in 66.1IP) would welcomed on most teams.

His 2009 value lies in where he lands and what role he will take on.

Stay tuned.

PS - Hope you enjoyed watching his last K in his 20K performance.

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A's to Rockies


Now that the deal for Holliday is complete let's take a look at the players going to the Rockies and how they will impact your fantasy team.

Huston Street - A former closer who lost his job in 2008 will not find any closing duties for the Rockies. From what I have heard, the Rockies will give Corpas the job for 2009. The value for Street is, at the moment, very low. But, there are teams out there who need a closer and most likely Street will find a place somewhere else.

Carlos Gonzalez - He did not have a great rookie season with the A's but expect him to play full-time with the Rockies in 2009. He should only matter to owners who are in extremely deep leagues or NL-only ones.

Greg Smith - Pitched 190.1 innings in 2008 as a rookie which seems a little high in my eyes. He should benefit from the NL lineups but we'll see how he can survive in Coors Field. He is nothing to really jump on for drafts.

In the end, the only person that has value is Street.

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Thursday, November 13, 2008

Congrats Timmy!


Tim Lincecum is the 2008 NL Cy Young Winner!

Now, is he the new #1 pitcher in fantasy baseball? Not so fast.

Timmy has the stuff to be the #1 but he needs to prove he can go into every season and put up the same numbers. The top still belongs to Johan with CC nipping at his heels.

I just hope he continues to throw smoke because he is one of my 2009 keepers.

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Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Holliday to the A's

If reports are correct, slugger Matt Holliday is moving from hitter friendly Coors to a not so friendly Coliseum. This is not a good move for fantasy owners.

Coors Field
.357avg, 84HRs, 307RBIs, .423OBP, .647SLG, and a 1.068OPS.

Away from Coors Field
.280AVG, 44HRs, 176RBIs, .348OBP, .455SLG, and a .803OPS

Just looking at the numbers we have to conclude that the heavy slugging numbers are inflated due to him playing the majority of games at hitter friendly Coors Field. If I was an owner of Matt I would be a little worried if he is officially traded from Coors.

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Friday, November 7, 2008

Jake Peavy


The Padres are indeed shopping Peavy and well this isn't the best thing for fantasy owners. If you look at his stats, away/home, you can see where he is better.

Since 2002.
Home
2.77ERA, 1.09WHIP, .219BAA, and 47HRs.

Away
3.80ERA, 1.30WHIP, .246BAA, and 81HRs.

For those owners who have him as a keeper, you better hope he gets traded to a friendly ballpark because we all know Petco is a nice place for pitchers.

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AJ a Free Agent


Well, AJ Burnett is a free agent and is looking for a team to throw some cash at him.

In my eyes, AJ took a big step in 2008 by proving he can stay healthy and be a big time contributor to a baseball club. Only problem is why the hell should anyone take him seriously when it comes to his health. This guy has proven over his entire career that his body doesn't seem to like going out there every 5th day to pitch.

Okay, as some of you might start thinking, where is the fantasy angle. Here it is.

No matter what team he lands on he is going to produce big numbers, as long as he is healthy, because look at his stats while pitching in the hardest division in baseball, CLICK HERE for his stats. If are you targeting him as a player in the 2009 draft, make sure to take caution. I would advise most people to stay away from him unless he is available in the early teen rounds.

With AJ it is always about big risk big reward. Just like his fellow partner in crime, Rich Harden.

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Hank Blalock


The Rangers have picked up the option on Hank Blalock for $6.2million.

This is not the biggest news of the day but this is news since there would be some competition on where Blalock and Chris Davis should play. In eyes there is no battle for plate appearances because no matter what happens, Davis will play. This kid will produce and has the ability to hit 35-40HRs in upcoming seasons.

For all you fantasy owners out there, make sure to keep both players on your radar.

Chris Davis should be a solid late single round pick. I would even go out and try for him in the mid-late rounds (6,7,8). As for Blalock, he should be drafted late in the draft. Preferably mid to late teens.

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Saturday, November 1, 2008

Sabathia

As expected, CC Sabathia has officially filed for free agency. The question now is, will he sign a bigger contract than Mr. Johan Santana?

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Friday, October 31, 2008

Free Agency


Well Manny and Big Tex didn't waste anytime filing for Free Agency. Both sluggers are on the free market and will garner loads of attention and even more $$$$$$$. From a fantasy point, Big Tex is a guy you want on your team and should be willing to draft fairly high but on the other hand Manny is a different story.

Manny is coming off a huge/monster year where it seems he planned everything to a T. Making/playing himself out of Boston and onto a another roster, this Boras client is now trying to grab a fat contract on the free market. As a fantasy owner I don't care if he gets paid $1 or $1trillion. The only thing that matters in my eyes is productivity. This guy is climbing the ladder of age and with all hitters the mind is there but the body doesn't seem to want to react as quickly. Look for Manny to have a good year but don't expect him to replicate his 2008 season. I am an owner of Manny in a keeper league and I would personally have traded him before making him a keeper but there were no takers in my league. All repsonded by saying, "Enjoy watching him fall apart." I don't agree with that statement since he hasn't really shown and huge sign of decline but don't let this year fool you, he is in decline. Make sure he is on your team but don't let this season blind you into making him a top 2/3 round pick.

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Finally Finished


Well, the 2009 MLB season is officially over but not with a dramatic end. It took a few days and a few sleepless nights but the Philadelphia Phillies are the 2009 World Series Champions. After a long rain delay, which took days not hours, the Phillies finished the Rays off in Game 5 with World Series MVP Cole Hamels sitting on the bench after starting the game.

To me, this year seemed like a year where things, magical things, were going to happen. Starting the season in search of a Fantasy Championship, which didn't happen, I watched a young team in the AL East grow and mature into a World Series runner up. Honestly, did you think the Rays were going to take a step out of the AL East basement let alone having them reach the playoffs and walk into the World Series with a stride of pure confidence only a young true winner can bring. I was supporting the Rays through the playoffs and I was a little disappointed in their finish but after watching them, my fantasy season draft, which is only 5 months away, was truly affected.

Here are a few things I saw and you should take note of too.

Ryan Howard - Does anyone have the right to even question him? This guy may fall into slumps but when he starts connecting, this guy just flat out carries a team. Take a look at game 3/4. He had 3HRs and 6RBIs. This guy deserves a high draft pick but for owners who draft him there is a side note, you must draft a guy like Ichiro to offset the K's and low AVG.

Pat Burrell - This guy just didn't have a good World Series, 1-14, with no HRs and 1RBIs. This guy is going to find him a nice contract after this year but just watch for where he lands. His position in the 2009 draft depends on his future team. He is a career .257 hitter but gives you a nice 25-30HRs with 80-100RBIs.

Shane Victorino - Make sure to find him during the draft and take him off the board!

Brad Lidge - This guy was the epitome of domination...but don't let this fool you. Don't reach too far for him during draft day.

David Price - This is a guy you want on your team. A left handed thrower who hits mid-90's on his fastball is nothing to joke about. Look for him but remember, with his big time name, people will reach and draft him higher than he should be. This guy should be closer to the mid teens.

Rocco Baldelli - Make sure to keep his name on your draft sheet, period.

Matt Garza - Make him a 2nd/3rd starter on your team next year. I think his composure and experience gained from this World Series will be truly valuable for him and you.

I hope this is a quick guide for fantasy owners. Yes, I know that these are fairly big names in the drafts but you have to make sure you need draft these players in the right spots.

You can't win your league with your First Round Pick but you surely can lose it!

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Friday, October 24, 2008

Rocco...again


Rocco Baldelli, I bet you are getting tired of me posting about him, finished his first 9 inning game while playing the field. He went 0-2 with a BB but the more important news is how he is feeling after the game.

David Price is earning his hype because he just completed 2.1 more innings at the end of a ball game. More importantly Price is showing his maturity and composure on the mound. This is a great sign for fantasy owners. If he can handle the pressures of a World Series game, during the 9th inning, he should surely be able to handle the day to day grind of a 162 game season. Ok, I won't go that far but his performance in the playoffs this year is showing me this kid might be a force to be reckon with next year.

Ryan Howard, where the fuck are you?!?!

James Shields - not a bad choice for a 3rd starter next year. Draft him in the early to mid teens.

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Wednesday, October 22, 2008

ALCS is Over


The Rays have finally completed the ALCS and will find themselves, yet again, in unchartered territory. Their next stop will be the finest stage of all...the World Series. The young and fine tuned Rays will find themselves against the Phillies of Philadelphia.

But over the course of 7 games in the ALCS, fantasy owners should consider some numbers and players.

Baldelli - It seems like I have a man crush on this guy and well I will admit it, I do! This guy knows how to play baesball but for some odd reason the baseball gods don't seem to want him on the field...until now. After suffering through injury after injury Baldelli seems to have found a way to please the baseball gods. He had an RBI in the decisive game 7 and signs point for him to be a productive fantasy player in 2009. This guy will be a sleeper.

David Price found himself with an opportunity to cement his name on the playoffs and he came through. He closed out game 7 and seems to be on his way to a full time player in 2009. Expect fantasy owners to over reach for this guy on draft day. I try to stay away from guys like this, young/full of potential/but has proved nothing in the bigs. He has the potential to put up big numbers but don't go reaching until spring training reports come out on where he will be situated on the roster.

Matt Garza, earned the ALCS MVP, will be high on darft day if he continues his success in the playoffs. It seems like any player who stands out on the big stage finds himself drafted higher in drafts. This guy has the potential and stuff to be a dominating pitcher but don't be fooled with the playoff success. He has pitched around 320innings in his career and the extra innings he is throwing this year might spoil his 2009 season. I still think he is a solid number 3 pitcher.

Jon Lester - This guy seems to have a arm of a robot. After throwing 81 and 63 innings in 06 and 07 respectively, he went for 210.1 innings and added another 26.2 innings in the playoffs. Not sure how this will affect his 2009 performance. In my eyes, he still stands as a solid number 3, like Garza.

Pedroia had a career year in 2008 but I am not sold on this guy just yet. I see his SB total, 20, being a legit number but I am not sure he can sustain his power, 17HRs. This is where his value comes from, putting together a player who can steal 20 and bring in 15-20HRs with a .300AVG is a solid mid single round talent. If you don't have the chance to fill in the 2B with the likes of Utley or Roberts, Pedroia isn't a bad choice.

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Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Baldelli


With a HR in the playoffs Baldelli is finding a way to stay healthy and add to his resume, which will come in handy when the spring training 2009 rolls around.

If Baldelli can stay healthy he is a potential sleeper, as mentioned before, for the 2009 season. If he stays healthy he can be a nice addition to any fantasy roster.

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Manny


Holy Shit! If the Dodgers lose the series it surely won't be because of the efforts of one Manny Ramirez. He is absolutely locked in and is trying to drag the team into the World Series.

So far, he is hitting .500 (11/22) with 3HRs, 9RBIs, and 10BBs in the post-season.

This performance will surely push him higher in the 2009 drafts. Please don't be fooled though. He should be drafted as a early 5th to early 6th rounder.

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Friday, October 10, 2008

NLCS


After two quick games the Phillies are half way to making an appearance in the World Series while the Dodgers, led by Manny, are left wondering what happened to their momentum while trying to see if they can make this series interesting.

The NLCS has a few players you should keep an eye on for the 2009 fantasy season draft.

Brad Lidge just converted his 2nd save in the NLCS and it seems like he will never give up a lead...ever! After recovering from injuries and also the Pujols HR, it seems Lidge is back on top of his game and is ready for elite closer status. Ok, he is up their with the best closers in the game but make sure you don't over play for him in the 2009 draft. He is having a career year and has the ability to hold down a bullpen but in my eyes he is still not in the same league as Papelbon, F-Rod, Joe Nathan, and Soria. If Lidge has a rediculous post-season watch for people to draft him higher than his true value.

Ryan Howard is not doing anything but walking back to the dug-out. He is batting a nice .000 in two games in the NLCS. Don't worry about him, he's s slugger and can easily go off for 5HR's in the next 2/3 games.

Chad Billingsley was hammered in game 2 of the NLCS but this is not going to affect his 2009 draft position, a 9-12 round pick. He should be your 2nd SP for next year.

Clayton Kershaw is throwing some post-season innings and I think this is great for his mental state and overall experience. This is a pitcher you need to keep an eye on. After exploding onto the scene this year and making a #1 waiver priority in ALL leagues, this guy is primed for a strong 2009 season. He has the stuff, just needs the confidence from himself and his team. He is a lock for a draft pick next year but make sure to draft him in the late rounds, watch people who draft him early because they are gambling.

Manny is being Manny.

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Tuesday, October 7, 2008

ALCS Rays?!?!


If I told you at the start of training camp that the Rays, yes the Tampa Bay Rays, would be 4 wins away from the World Series I guarantee you would have told me I was smoking/snorting something illegal in most parts of the world.

But as we speak the Rays are on their way to the ALCS to play their division rivals the Boston Red Sox. Again, who has the best division in baseball...the AL EAST is just loaded with talented teams. I am very excited to watch some baseball between these two teams.

On the fantasy side, make sure to keep an eye out for Pena, Longoria, Iwamura, and Upton. I didn't even mention Crawford. These Rays can produce.

Look for more information concerning fantasy implications throughout the ALCS.

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Monday, October 6, 2008

CC Sabathia

The season is finally over for CC Sabathia and now comes the greatest time in the year for him and his agent, FREE AGENCY!! In the off-season Sabathia will garner plenty of attention from the big salary teams and maybe even a few small market teams might throw something in just to show their fans they "tried" to land the big fish.

The problem I see with Sabathia is the tremendous workload he took on this season. He pitched a total of 253 innings in the regular season and another 3.2 innings in the playoffs. Simple math and that comes out to be 256.2 innings pitched in 2008. 256.2?!?!?! holy shit, that's a lot of innings and you still haven't added in the really high pitch counts he threw during those innnings. During his stretch with the Brewers he basically threw 110-130 every game.

Over his entire career this guy has been a work horse and has found a way to stay off the DL. Since 2001 he has pitched at least 180.1 innings and peaked at 241 last season. So, I guess the added 15.2 innings isn't huge but in my eyes this has to take a toll.

I know there is an argument between traditional guys and current guys with respect to the innings. The traditional coming with the old guys use to pitch 300 innings every year and didn't worry about a pitch count while the "newbies" baby their pitchers. I kind of lean towards babying them by watching their pitch counts, especially early in the year. Anyways, this talk belongs in another post.

Fantasy baseball information time. People should be drafting Sabathia as a 2nd/3rd rounder next year. BUT, I would be a little skeptical on his performane just because of his added workload over the past two season. But again, there are special guys out there, for example Roy Halladay. If it wasn't for all those freak injuries he would be throwing 30 starts every year as well. Draft him because if you don't someone else will because anchoring your rotation with Sabathia isn't the worst thing in the world.

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Sunday, October 5, 2008

Rich Harden


On and off again injured Rich Harden finished his 2008 season with 148 regular season innings and 4.1 playoff innings, which comes to a total of 152.1 innings pitched. This is great news because he has not reached this since 2004 when he threw 189.2 innings.

After looking over his stats for his entire career I am still scared shitless when it comes to Harden. I will never draft him, unless he is available during the last few rounds, because there is always the possibility he will only give me 20 innings because of injuries. I am absolutely thrilled he was able to throw 152.1 innings this year but will this be a normal thing from now on? Will he be able to throw every 5th day? Will he be able to stay healthy for an entire year? Does he have management that will take the chance and let him throw 100+ pitches every outing?

There are too many questions when it comes to Harden and that is why I would suggest not drafting in the 2009 fantasy season unless it is a complete bargain, last few rounds. In my eyes, I always let Harden become someone elses problem. Don't let this season blind you and make you a believer because one single season means nothing.

Why not make him a dominating 2 inning closer? There are so many questions surrounding Harden that it just makes no sense in my mind to draft him.

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Saturday, October 4, 2008

Bay and Drew


Jason Bay and JD Drew of the Red Sox seem to be making headlines on a daily basis. This is the kind of news that haunts many new and seasoned fantasy owners into thinking they are worth a high draft pick.

Here are reasons why one of these guys should find himself in a high draft pick while the other should still be drafted lower in the draft.

Starting with JD Drew, we see he has had a nice 2008 season with 109 games played hitting 19HRs and driving in 64 all while batting a solid .280AVG. People will look at his numbers and think it was fairly impressive but if any smart fantasy owner should realize is this player shouldn't be making a spot on fantasy teams early in drafts. This is the kind of player that will cost you a fantasy championship if you draft him too high. The big number that is telling of his downfall is the games played. This guy simply can not stay healthy for an entire season. If you look at this overall statistics throughout his career you will see that he has never played in more than 146 games in a single year. In ten years of full time play he has logged 5 seasons with under 109 games played. The next 5 range from 135 games played to 146. He just isn't durable. For all the hype this guy gets from his fat contracts and his appearances in the headlines, he isn't a legit OF in fantasy land. He should be drafted as a 3rd/4th OF in mixed leagues.

Moving onto the Canadian Jason Bay. This former 4th/5th rounder in fantasy drafts from 2005-2006 should make a run back to this type of draft position. He has proven in the past he can stay healthy and play on a daily basis while putting big numbers. It seems Bay has found a nice home in Boston and it now seems he will provide the Red Sox with a nice bat that can give fantasy owners a comfortable feeling when drafting him in the late 3th to 6th rounds in 2009. Look for people to reach a little on this player but remember, don't go reaching too far for him. He has the pop to give you power and also chip in 8-10SBs but he won't give you the numbers for a second round player.

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Tampa Bay

The Rays, in their first playoff appearance, are making a name for themselves and fast. They are leading the Central Division Champs two games to none in a short 5-game ALDS.

Here are a few things to take note of for the 2009 Fantasy Season.

Evan Longoria is showing he is not just a regular season performer but a post season hero as well. He is currently batting .571 with 4hits which includes 2HRs. Look for his value to sky-rocket next year if he continues his successful post-season. If the Rays make the ALCS or even the World Series other fantasy owners will start to recognize his Longoria's ability to crush the ball.

Rocco Baldelli is back and has quietly put himself back on some hardcore fantasy player's radars. After another setback in spring training from a mitocondrial disorder that landed him on the 60-Day DL he has come back to provide the Rays with some pop off the bench. Owners should make sure his name is on your draft sheets, if he continues to stay healthy, because Baldelli might be that sleeper that can bring you some hitting stats (.275-.285AVG, 15-25HRs, 75-100RBIs, and throw a hand full of steals in as well). The only thing holding him back is his injuries. If he can stay healthy most owners can grab him near the end of the 2009 fantasy draft as a 4th/5th outfielder.

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Friday, October 3, 2008

Manny Ramirez


Well, the Dodgers and Torre seem to be pretty happy with the acquisition of Manny. This guy can plain out hit. He is the purest baseball hitter in baseball and when he is happy he can literally carry an entire 60-man roster on his back.

In the 2008 playoffs he is hitting .500 with 2HR's, 3RBI's, and 2BB's. If his hitting continues, which it seems like he will, pitchers will most likely add to his BB total.

BTW...does anyone remember my prediction on March 26, 2008 about Manny's season numbers? Well if you just tuned in here is the link to my old post.

My Prediction - .303, 37HRs, 120RBIs, and 101Rs.
Actual 2008 Season Stats - .332, 37HRs, 121RBIs, and 102Rs.

The only category where I was a little off was his .332 AVG. But I was off by only 1RBI and 1R.

Ms. Cleo eat your heart out!!!

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Sunday, September 28, 2008

Final Day

The 2008 Fantasy Baseball Season is coming to a close and I apologize for not keeping up to date with my posts compared to the beginning of the season. The past couple of months have been super busy and coming to the computer and spending enough time to provide an insightful and productive post was just not going to happen.

I hope the posts during the first half of the season really helped some fantasy owners and maybe even set a foundation for the rest of the season, every category can be one by only one Run, RBI, or Save. The lesson is and will always be, "Everyday and every stat counts!"

As I look forward there is the MLB play-offs and of course the off-season which will provide fantasy owners plenty of time to think and re-calculate their 2009 plan.

I will continue to find time to post, hopefully 1 or 2 posts a week, during the off-season to provide some information about players and their future with fantasy owners.

So, for those of you who are celebrating a win, Congratulations. For those who are still battling into the final day of the season, Good Luck. And for the ones who were out and lost a chance at the championship, there is always next year. Remember, it is never too early to start thinking about draft positions and strategy for the next season.

Thank you for taking time out of your day to come over here and read my thoughts and ideas about Fantasy Baseball. I thoroughly enjoyed posting, when I did, so please stay tuned for more updates in the upcoming months. I promise that posts will be on a schedule and more importantly a predictable schedule.

Just a tidbit of information. I am in the midst of finishing 3rd in both leagues I am in with a slight chance of 2nd in both leagues.

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Wednesday, September 3, 2008

V-Mart

It took 58 games and 207 at-bats but Victor Martinez of the Indians has finally hit his first home run of the 2008 season. For owners of V-Mart this has been a terrible year especially since he was expected to hit 20HRs and drive in around 90-100.

Those who drafted him high and/or had him as a keeper may have lost this year just because of this production or lack of. By drafting him high you gave up the chance of drafting other players, same goes for having him as a keeper.

If he can put up 6-10HRs this month he might be able to keep himself in the lineup as the full-time DH because with the way Shoppach has been hitting, it would be nearly impossible to take Shoppach out of the lineup.

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Saturday, August 30, 2008

Carl Pavano

Surprise Surprise...Carl Pavano is back in uniform and actually pitching for the Yanks after a variety of injuries. In his first start, the highly paid righty put up some decent fantasy numbers going 5 innings and only allowing 3ERs while picking up the victory. In his second start he improved by beating the Jays by going 6 innings and only allowing 1ER this time around which earned him a win.

Pavano is 2-0 with a 3.27ERA so far in two starts and fantasy owners should really consider adding him to your lineup especially if you are in deeper leagues and you are in search of a decent pitcher.

At this time of year you have to really stop looking at name value and just look at the raw numbers that will help you win a league championship.

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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

New Closer in Texas

As most fantasy owners know by now, the Twins have acquired Eddie Guardado from the Rangers and will hopefully fill the void left in the 8th inning by Neshak.

The Rangers will now turn to Frank Francisco to close out games. Owners who are in desperate need of saves should make sure to grab him NOW! For owners who have Guardado, you can now drop him because he will have no chances at saves since Mr. Nathan is still wearing a Twins uniform.

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Friday, August 22, 2008

Shutting Down Pitchers

Major League Baseball teams don't consider fantasy owners when they make club decisions, nor they should, and this is the time of year when some rookies/young players are going to be shut down for the remainder of the season if the team is not in contention.

Every year fantasy owners are absolutely terrified of this time because when it comes to contending for a fantasy championship where every little stat counts this is the time that matters. When a pitcher like Lincecum is shut down because the team doesn't want to overwork their pitchers, ask Dusty Baker about overworking young pitchers, and risk their bright future.

This year there are plenty of pitchers that might be shut down because they are reaching an innings limit or the team is just out of contention and they need some room for prospects to get some major league work.

Below are some guys that might be near the shut down line.

J. Danks
Z. Greinke
J. Jurrjens
C. Kershaw
R. Nolasco
M. Parra
J. Sanchez
J. Duchscherer (on the DL and most likely won't be back)

If you have any of those players make sure to consider the shut down option in your strategy/plan for the remainder of the 2008 season. In a previous post I mentioned an innings limit and if you are above the limit, like myself, maybe this is a good thing. Pick up some RP who can help you in ERA/WHIP plus give you a few vulture wins.

Just don't expect your young pitchers, who are over their innings pitched from last year, to be there in 2/3 weeks time.

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Maddux Update

Well, his first start as a Dodger didn't go so well. Taking the loss and a beating at the hands of the Phillies. 5.2IP, 7ERs, with 2HRs is not a way to impress fantasy owners. I recommend owners hold and see how his second start goes. If it goes just as badly, then drop and find a new pitcher.

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Greg Maddux

After being traded to the Dodgers, for the second time, I am interested to see how Greg Maddux pitches. With a better ballpark, better lineup to support him, and being placed into a playoff race I wonder if Maddux can pick up his pitching and give fantasy owners another viable option for the stretch run.

In 2006, after being traded to the Dodgers from the Cubs, Maddux went 6-3, 3.30ERA, and a 1.09WHIP over a span of 73.2IP. Those are some numbers that can help fantasy owners.

If you have room on your roster take a chance and grab Maddux and stash him on your bench. If Maddux can relive 2006 again, he can be a secret weapon that other owners might just overlook.

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Innings Limit

The 2008 fantasy season is reaching the end of August and what most managers are facing now is an innings limit. Some are over and some are way under. For those who have innings left, I am assuming no one really has blown all their innings so far, this is a great time to start managing your innings in a wise way.

Throughout the year I have had 5-6 starters pitch continually and I am currently over by 120+ innings. The reason I have kept going with 5-6 starters is because they have all been producing and giving me what I drafted them for. Plus, on top of the 5-6 starters I have sprinkled in some hot pitchers who were absolutely dominating during a stretch of the season.

Remember, this innings limit is nothing to work yourself over because it is meaningless, to the point of having to finish at a certain point. If you finish your innings limit now or even a month ago it doesn't matter but only if you used them WISELY. So, if you used your innings for pitchers who have tossed huge innings this year and have also given you the stats you seek then who cares when you reach the limit.

If you are in the position of being short on innings, make sure to use them wisely. Only start your pitchers if they are in favourable match-ups, unless you have one of the top pitchers like Webb, Lincecum, and CC, because you don't want to waste your remaining innings on terrible starts. With 4 weeks left in the season you can quickly kill your chances at a fantasy championship if you waste your innings. On the other side of the coin, you can easily improve your pitching stats and gain a few valuable points and win a championship.

The time is near, for innings, so make sure to look at your staff and use an unbias eye to see who to sit and who to pitch.

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Hot Hitters/Pitchers

Below are some hot hitting/pitching players.

Hitters - Past 7 Days
Nick Punto IF - .419AVG, 8Rs, 2SBs
Ronnie Belliard IF - .571AVG, 5RBIs
Willy Aybar IF - .391AVG, 1HR, 3Rs, 3RBIs
Gabe Gross OF - .316AVG, 1HR, 4Rs, 3RBIs, 1SB

Pitchers - Past Month
Brett Myers SP - 41.2IP, 3-1, 30K, 1.94ERA, 0.96WHIP
Braden Looper SP - 40.0IP, 2-3, 22K, 2.02ERA, 0.97WHIP
Steven Shell RP - 18IP, 15Ks, 2.00ERA, 0.72WHIP
Jesse Carlson RP - 11IP, 11Ks, 3.18ERA, 0.97WHIP

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Friday, August 15, 2008

Around the Majors

Troy Percival of the Rays is back on the DL for the third time this season. The closer is suffering from an injury to his right knee. The Rays will have a closer by committee. This is the worst case scenario for any owners who are in a battle for saves. If you have a chance go out and grab these guys Wheeler, Balfour, Howell, and even Miller. The most likely candidate will be Wheeler, who owns 4 saves this year, and is the only one who has major league experience in the closer position prior to this season.

Chris Carpenter of the Cardinals is back on the DL and for owners who thought he might give you a boost for stretch run just got hit hard. This former CY Young winner in 2005 now finds himself trying to recover from a shoulder strain. All owners should drop him ASAP and find another player. If he he outs the minimum 15 days, which I doubt he will, he will only give you 2/3 starts maximum. Plus, with his history of injury the Cards will most likely shut him down for the rest of the season.

Melky Cabrera of the Yankees is now finding a life outside the historic gates of Yankee Stadium and now catching fly balls in the minors. He was demoted after a terrible slump which has lasted since May. After a hot start in which he hit 7HRs he is not just hitting .240AVG. He should not be on any teams except AL-Only leagues but after his demotion he should be on the wire in all leagues.

Tom Glavine of the Braves is back on the DL. Owners, just drop him.

Billy Wagner of the Mets is scheduled to return to the bullpen on Monday when he is allowed to be activated. This is not soon enough for a bullpen that has been shelled in his absence.

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Thursday, August 14, 2008

Mike Lowell

It seems the Red Sox aren't immune to the injury bug either. The Sox have just placed veteran Mike Lowell on the 15Day DL with a strained left oblique muscle. This is an injury you need to monitor very closely because an injury of this calibre can turn into a problem that might linger and keep him out of the lineup for 3-4 weeks.

If you are an owner make sure to monitor his status and if something happens where he won't be coming back for 3-6 weeks, it is wise to drop him and find a replacement if you need room on your roster.

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Official

News coming out of Tampa Bay is telling the world Carl Crawford will be out 6-8 weeks which means he is going to finished for the fantasy world. This comes at a terrible especially since owners have no time or chance to find a replacement for his statistics.

Even with the poor year Crawford is having statistically he is still producing at a 3rd outfielder pace and if you have him at the 3rd OF spot you are not doing so badly.

As I mentioned before with Carlos Lee this is the time for individuals in keeper leagues to take notice and maybe acquire Crawford for a lower price then you if he was healthy. If an owner in your league is in contention for the championship go out and try to send him an offer and see if you can grab him and stash him as a keeper for 2009.

Remember, if you are in contention and have Crawford trade him away now because you need stats now and who gives a rats ass if you lose a keeper for next year, this is now and winning a championship holds higher priority than your 2009 season.

The lesson is WIN NOW!!

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Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Mr. Street

Huston Street of the A's is now just another RP in the fantasy world. He has fallen hard from former years where he posted nice fantasy numbers which owners could be satisfied with. Turn to 2008 and this closer, now former, is just throwing innings that seem to be extremely irrelevant in the whole grand scheme of things. The A's GM, Billy Beane, has put Street on waivers, rumour has it and it seems no one is opening up their clubhouse doors to this ex-closer.

Now for current fantasy owners who need help in their saves category you might want to go ahead and pick up Ziegler who is dominating hitters after making a trip from the bullpen to the mound. The only way Street will find his spot in the 9th inning in the near future is if Ziegler falls apart and Street starts to throw pitches that don't end up over the fence but instead in the catchers mitt.

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Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Adam Dunn

Now that the Diamondbacks have acquired the services of Adam Dunn from the Reds lets talk about the fantasy impact this has on both teams. Lets begin with the Reds.

With the absence of Griffey and Dunn from the lineup individuals like Bruce, Phillips, and Encarnicion will lose some protection that Dunn offered in the lineup. I don't see a huge hit in numbers for these players because they are all solid hitters at the plate but as of right now I don't think this deal helps them.

Adding Dunn to the Diamondbacks lineup gives them a bat that can change a game with one swing, positively and negatively. Dunn is the prototypical hit or miss kind of hitter. He either hits a HR or finds a seat after putting up a K. Look for Jackson, Young, and Reynolds to see more hittable pitches in the near future because of the protection Dunn offers. This trade seems to offer a third punch after the likes of Webb and Haren.

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Update on Previous Post

The injuries to Crawford and Longoria will most likely keep them out for 3-4 weeks but if the Rays some how fall out of contention they will most likely be rested and told to stay home for the season. There is no reason in the world to risk further damage to these two players since they will be the cornerstone to their franchise.

PS. Rocco Baldelli is back in the Rays lineup. If he is available, which he shouldn't be, go out and obtain his services.

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Keeper League Advice

All of a sudden star players are hitting the DL with season ending injuries, or close to it, and for individuals who are not in contention for a fantasy championship this season this is a great opportunity to cash in.

If you are in a keeper league and are sitting in the "build for next year" mode please take note. Guys like Carlos Lee, Evan Longoria, and Carl Crawford are names that have found themselves on the DL as of late and this is the time to try and trade for them.

If owners who are in contention for a championship own these guys try and make an offer for one of them. These players are all keeper worthy players and if their owners are serious about winning a championship, this year, will gladly trade them away for players who are producing now. Lets be real here, you can not go out onto the wire and replace a Lee, Longoria, and a Crawford.

Instead of just sitting and waiting for the year to end go out and see if you can build a strong keeper list for the 2009 season and hopefully you'll be in contention this time next season instead of worrying about your keeper list.

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Saturday, August 9, 2008

Quick Tip

The final stretch of the season is quickly approaching and this is the time of year where name value is thrown out the window. When you are looking for players, just cover up the names and take the stats for what they are...STATS. This is what will separate winners from the lower tier fantasy players. Who cares about name value right now when some no name dude is hitting .310AVG for the past 2 months.

This is the time of year when every stat counts and every stat left on the waiver wire will haunt the owners who were contemplating of picking them up but was afraid to drop a player just because of his name. So, go out there and see who is on the wire that has been lighting things up on the field. If you don't take the chance now you'll be sitting in your chair in the off-season thinking of how lame it feels to finish second when you had a golden opportunity to finish first.

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A Few Things to Take Note of...

CC Sabathia of the Brewers is still cruising after being traded from the Indians. He is now 6-0 with his new team and has, alone, completely turned my one of my fantasy teams from being a bottom feeder to a contender. I don't see him turning into a terrible pitcher, like his start to the season, but if you are pretty solid in pitching but need some help in hitting go out and see if you can grab one of those great bats out there. Guys like Hanley, Wright, A-Rod, Holliday, and Sizemore are guys that should be in your trade negotiations.

Billy Wagner of the Mets is still recovering from a left arm strain and should be coming back from the DL when he is scheduled to but you never know with arm injuries. The bullpen is kind of in trouble so if you are in dyer need of saves look to Heilman or Kunz but at this moment your guess is as good as anyones since their bullpen sucks!

Carlos Zambrano of the Cubs has hit his 3rd HR of the season.

A-Rod of the Yankees is struggling but if you are in need of a hitter see if you can grab him from a disgruntled owner. You won't get him on a HUGE significant discount but you might find it a little easier to grab him.

Mike Aviles of the Royals continues to hit. In his past ten games he has raised his AVG from .314 to .341 while collecting 21Hs with 2HRs. This is a guy you want on your team RIGHT NOW!

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Friday, August 8, 2008

Teams to Pick On

If you are in need of pitching but can not afford to trade away hitters for pitchers I have a plan for you. Go to the waiver wire and see who are the probable pitchers for the next day. Make sure to grab some pitchers who are pitching against the following teams.

A's - .244BA
Pirates - .245BA
Nationals - .245BA
Giants - .254BA

On top of the poor team batting averages these teams struggle to score runs (minus the Pirates). So if you are in need of pitching help try and see who is pitching against these clubs and pick them up. This is the time to gamble and see if you can rise in the pitching standings.

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Notable Pitchers

Shaun Marcum of the Jays is back and it seems he is back to his normal self. Go out and see if you can grab this pitcher because with his DL stint he might be able to finish the season on the mound instead of being rested for the final month of September.

Gio Gonzalez of the A's is going to be on the big league team and people in AL-Only leagues should take notice. Go out and acquire his services.

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Joba

Job is on the DL and if you are in a keeper league and the owner who has Joba is in contention and needs help, go out and try to make a deal for Joba. This is a great chance for owners who are in keeper leagues who are out of contention to try and acquire Joba in a trade.

Get it done!

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Jeff Karstens

So far Jeff Karstens of the Pirates is throwing some sort of magic towards the plate because batters seem to have no clue what the hell is going on. Hitters are hitting .143 through 15IP. Jeff just got off a 2-hitter and is 2-0 after 2 starts and it seems owners are jumping and to the FA wire to find and pick him up.

BUYER BEWARE!! Jeff is not a pitcher you really want to go overboard with if you are trying to protect some pitching categories. If you are gambling and need some luck to make a move in your league standings take the chance but don't think Jeff is going to bring you a championship.

I think you have seen the best of Jeff so far in his first 2 starts because if you look at his minor league numbers they are not too impressive.

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Saturday, August 2, 2008

The Prince is Back

Well it took some time but it seems like the HR stroke from Prince Fielder is finally here. Over the past 4 games he has 5HRs and 6RBIs. The problem with Prince and his owners is he was drafted for 40+HRs and is not living up to his draft position. He will most likely land himself in the low to mid 30's in HRs and this is what owners should expect from him when they drafted him and not the 50HR season he had last year.

If you are in need of help in other categories this might be a great time to send Prince to another team via a trade because of his recent hot streak with HRs. In my current keeper league, I am trying to grab a legitimate first rounder for next year (Hanley, Wright, A-Rod, Reyes, and maybe Kinsler) and Prince is one of those players that I am trying to package in a deal.

Remember, realistic expecatations is a very important part of fantasy baseball and to be brutally honest most people, including those "fantasy experts" seem to have a problem with it.

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Friday, August 1, 2008

Focus on Categories

I can not say this enough to any fantasy owner who is in contention for a fantasy championship, THIS IS THE TIME TO FOCUS AND ATTACK CATEGORIES. I have a few friends who have asked about how to really win a championship or even hold a lead in a league, well this is how you do it and it is very simple.

The first thing you need to do is look at the standings in an UNBIAS way. I this is hard since you love all your players and you think they will have career years every year, well this is wrong. Don't expect some player to all of a sudden turn it around and hit .320 the rest of the way when he is a .275 hitter and he is currently hitting .295. He'll most likely hit around .270 the rest of the way to bring his average back down to his career average, remember the law of averages!

Secondly, sort each category and see where you sit compared with the rest of the league. If you are behind by say 30HR's don't expect to make that up unless you find a way to deal for Dunn, Howard, or A-Rod. At this point in the season, barring injuries, you can find yourself overcoming a 15-20HR's difference and maybe even 25 if you have a huge power surge and the people above fall into hitting singles. Make sure to sort each category and see if you can realistically climb up and gather enough points to be in first. REMEMBER, don't just look above you in the standings but also look below you. Someone who is 2HR's behind you or .001 point in average behind you can easily surpass you.

Thirdly, now that you have sorted each category and you know what is above and below you, you have to choose which categories you are very strong in and which categories you need to improve. So in my situation, I have a lead of around 20-25 in saves (I have been trying to deal closers forever but with no luck) so it is the time to send a closer or two to someone for a player you need. If you need steals try for a player like Taveras, if you need average look for Ichiro, and if you need power look to Dunn or Howard.

Fourthly, many of my friends have never thought about this but trade players to a team that can take points away from a team above you. For example, if the team above you in the overall standings is competing with someone over saves give a closer to the person via trade and see the guy above you lose a point in a category. This is completely fair and breaks no ethics issues.

Fifth, the baseball season is very long and players tend to tire throughout the season so expect many players to slow down their pace from earlier in the season. This really applies to rookies who have not endured a full season of MLB baseball and are almost running on fumes. This is particularly true for young pitchers who are approaching their season high in innings. The more innings a pitchers throws over his career high the more chance he will tire and lose his effectiveness.

I hope this little post helps you keep you in the lead or gives you what you need to know to climb in the standings.

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Liriano

Francisco Liriano is back in the majors for the Twins and he is expected to be here for the rest of his career. Owners who have him should be overjoyed with his call-up since he was absolutely tearing things up down in minors. For the ones who don't have him go out and see if he is on the waiver wire because this is a guy you need to grab. Look for Liriano to have around 10 or so starts for the rest of the season and don't be shocked if you see him dominate for the entire time.

This is the type of pitcher that can make a difference in your pitching categories. Plus, if you were the one that added Chris Carpenter as a free agent as well you could see two top tier pitchers dominate for the final two months of the season.

Between the two they are capable of putting up HUGE numbers for example 10-13Ws, 120-140K's, low 3 ERA, and combine that with a WHIP around 1.1...nice end to the season eh?

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Manny & Bay

Unless you live under a rock you already know about the big deal that sent future hall of famer Manny Ramirez to the Dodgers and brought Jason Bay to the Red Sox from the Pirates in a 3-team deal. Here is a quick breakdown.

Owners of Manny who are in AL-only leagues are feeling a huge hit in their power numbers and, in most leagues, you will have the rights to Jason Bay. For owners in NL-only leagues who owned Jason Bay and have the rights to Manny should be ecstatic. Manny is going into a very explosive lineup that can provide some huge RBI chances for Manny in the 4 slot. With Pierre, Kemp, and Martin batting in front of Manny the chances of RBI's. With Manny being in a position where he is happy and motivated this could be a huge final two months to the season. Get ready for some production!!

Jason Bay is going into a very productive lineup and it is time for owners of Bay to see if he can produce on the big stage/media frenzy that comes with Red Sox nation. But with the green monster and the people that surround him in the lineup Bay could also be in for a huge 2 months. Expect a bump in runs, RBI's, and HR's if he can take advantage of the green monster.

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Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Ichiro, Mr. 3000

Ichiro of the Mariners has reached a milestone in his career, 3,000 hits. All of these hits have not occurred while playing in the majors but over his span as a professional baseball player.

Congratulations Ichiro!!

PS. Can you tell me why the Mariners are paying this singles hitter $17million a year?!?! Yes, he does sell merchandise over in the 120million population of Japan but come on, $17million?!?!?!?

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Farnsworth and Pudge Trade

The Detroit Tigers have traded Pudge to the Yankees for Kyle Farnsworth.

Fantasy wise this isn't a huge deal. Pudge is an okay catcher and only has value because he is a catcher and provides a decent average (.295). The biggest part of the deal is Farnsworth because of the closing situation in Tigers clubhouse. With the Tigers demoting Jones and promoting Rodney as a closer, they are still far from finding a solution. Farnsworth has some experience as a closer and fantasy owners should pick up Farnsworth in speculation.

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Tuesday, July 29, 2008

Adam LaRoche

Adam LaRoche of the Pirates is headed to the DL with lower back spasms. This is the type of injury that could land LaRoche a spot on the bench for a month or even the rest of the season. As of right now there is no set timetable for his return but owners shouldn't expect much because of the situation the Pirates are in with respect to the standings.

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Big Tex on The Move

Mark Teixera is on the move and is now, according to news outlets, an Angel. We all knew that the Braves were going to be sellers at the deadline after placing Chipper and Hudson on the DL and by looks of the standing the Braves were a team looking from the outside in.

For fantasy owners this is good news because of the situation Tex will be in when he is slotted into the Angels lineup. With the likes of Vlad, Figgins, Kendrick, and Hunter Big Tex will have plenty of protection and tons of opportunities for RBI's.

Since Tex is known to be a second half player expect him to put up some big numbers in an Angels uniform because of the players listed above and the fact that the Angels are play-off bound, maybe even World Series bound.

The only problem in this deal is for owners who are in NL-Only leagues. Since this is an inter-league trade owners who own Tex in the NL will lose his services depending on your league rules.

The player going the other way is Casey Kotchman. Fantasy wise this isn't a big blow and with his current numbers .287, 12HR, 54RBI. He is a viable option as a fantasy player but 12HR and 54RBI as a 1B just doesn't cut it.

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Fantasy/Real Trade Deadline

The real MLB trade deadline (non-waiver) is July 31 and well this is the time where most fantasy owners, like myself, are sweating over because players, especially closers, lose their current roles and bring owners nothing but a glorified players that don't deserve a spot on a fantasy AAA roster.

If you are about to make a deal for someone make sure there is no rumour out there or a high percentage they will be traded where their fantasy value decreases. I would personally hold off on making a huge deal that would involve players that are rumoured to be on the move especially closers.

The fantasy trade dealine in most leagues is usually around Aug. 10 or around the 20th. This gives plenty of time to see who you want and who you want to use as bait.

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